Whitepaper

Vessel Scarcity and Schedule Risk Report

Ole Erik Vestøl Endrerud

Chief Product Officer

What 2026's Fleet Math Means for Your Project Timeline

Top-specification wind turbine installation vessels now command $525,000 a day, well past the north of $250,000 ceiling. At the same time, GWO and GWEC project technician demand rising from around 475,000 today to roughly 628,000 by 2030, on a workforce-scaling timeline that can take up to a decade.

Neither constraint can be solved on a single project's timeline. This report breaks down what's driving both, what it means for developers, operators and OEMs planning 2026–2030 delivery, and why the businesses moving first are already locking in the advantage.

What insights will you gain from this report?

Report highlights:

  • Why vessel day rates have already blown past the shipbroking market's own 2023 ceiling forecast, and what that says about the fleet vs. project-pipeline mismatch

  • The workforce scaling timeline that can take up to a decade, and why it changes how OEM service margins should be planned today

  • What a 28% single-year swing in the offshore capacity forecast means for how much a static schedule buffer can actually absorb

  • What developers, operators and OEMs should change now in how vessel, crew and pipeline volatility get modelled against a project timeline