Whitepaper

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Vessel Scarcity and Schedule Risk Report

Ole Erik Vestรธl Endrerud

Chief Product Officer

What 2026's Fleet Math Means for Your Project Timeline

Top-specification wind turbine installation vessels now command $525,000 a day, well past the north of $250,000 ceiling. At the same time, GWO and GWEC project technician demand rising from around 475,000 today to roughly 628,000 by 2030, on a workforce-scaling timeline that can take up to a decade.

Neither constraint can be solved on a single project's timeline. This report breaks down what's driving both, what it means for developers, operators and OEMs planning 2026โ€“2030 delivery, and why the businesses moving first are already locking in the advantage.

What insights will you gain from this report?

Report highlights:

  • Why vessel day rates have already blown past the shipbroking market's own 2023 ceiling forecast, and what that says about the fleet vs. project-pipeline mismatch

  • The workforce scaling timeline that can take up to a decade, and why it changes how OEM service margins should be planned today

  • What a 28% single-year swing in the offshore capacity forecast means for how much a static schedule buffer can actually absorb

  • What developers, operators and OEMs should change now in how vessel, crew and pipeline volatility get modelled against a project timeline